Macro
Macroeconomic data releases, indicators, and market reactions. GDP, inflation, employment, and economic policy.
Valdrans Market Pulse: 101 corroborated market-moving stories tracked in week of 20 July 2026
The Valdrans Market Pulse tracked 101 corroborated market-moving stories in the week of 20 July 2026 (76 market, 25 breaking-news), drawn from 1,775 source items across 14 sources.
Valdrans Market Pulse: 98 corroborated market-moving stories tracked in week of 13 July 2026
The Valdrans Market Pulse tracked 98 corroborated market-moving stories in the week of 13 July 2026 (83 market, 15 breaking-news), drawn from 1,832 source items across 15 sources.
Valdrans Market Pulse: 111 corroborated market-moving stories tracked in week of 6 July 2026
The Valdrans Market Pulse tracked 111 corroborated market-moving stories in the week of 6 July 2026 (95 market, 16 breaking-news), drawn from 1,985 source items across 14 sources.
US June ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI at 54.0; employment sub-index contracts
The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for June 2026 came in at 54.0, down from 54.5 in May and in line with consensus. The employment sub-index fell to 47.9, moving into contraction, while the prices paid index declined to 71.3.
US payrolls miss sharply at 57,000 as geopolitical risk dominated a turbulent week
A week shaped by a severe US jobs miss, escalating Russia-Ukraine strikes, Hormuz volatility, and broad Magnificent Seven losses erasing year-to-date gains.
China Caixin services PMI eased to 54.1 in June 2026
China's Caixin services PMI fell to 54.1 in June 2026 from 54.4 in May, beating economist forecasts according to Bloomberg Markets; export orders reached a 20-month high and services-sector employment rose for the first time since 2024.
US Treasuries rallied after below-forecast jobs data; dollar fell
US Treasury bonds rallied on 2 July 2026 after employment data came in below market expectations, with TLT and IEF rising alongside US equity markets; the US Dollar Index DXY recorded its largest weekly decline in nearly three months as of 3 July 2026.
Dollar slides, metals gain as weak US jobs data trims Fed rate-hike expectations
A mixed overnight session shaped by Friday's below-forecast US payrolls, Strait of Hormuz energy supply shifts, a 5% South Korean equity rebound, and thin US holiday trading conditions.
US June payrolls miss at 57,000; dollar index falls, EURUSD rises
US employers added 57,000 jobs in June 2026 against a forecast of 110,000–115,000, with prior months revised down by 74,000; the DXY declined and EURUSD rose following the release.
US June payrolls miss at 57,000 as yen surges on suspected BOJ intervention
A data-heavy European session defined by a sharp US payrolls miss, suspected Japanese intervention in the yen, and continued crude supply recovery through the Strait of Hormuz.
Asian equities fell sharply; South Korean stocks dropped 6% on AI sector sell-off
Asian equities fell on 2 July 2026, with South Korean stocks down 6% and the Kospi and Nikkei declining amid a semiconductor sell-off; foreign investors withdrew a record $137bn from Asian stocks, and the PBOC weakened its yuan reference rate.
German June CPI fell to ~2.4% as state-level readings missed expectations
Regional CPI data released 30 June showed year-over-year inflation falling across four German states; the national June headline was estimated at approximately 2.4%, down from 2.6% in May. No specific price moves for German Bunds or EURUSD were reported.
US stocks on track for best quarter in six years as SCOTUS reshapes tariff and Fed landscape
A busy quarter-end European session shaped by yen weakness at 40-year lows, oil's largest quarterly drop since 2020, easing eurozone inflation, and major US Supreme Court rulings on tariffs and Fed independence.
China June manufacturing PMI beat at 50.3; CSI 300 and Hang Seng tied to data
China's official manufacturing PMI came in at 50.3 for June 2026, above the 50.1 forecast and up from 50.0 in May; the non-manufacturing PMI reached 50.2 and the composite PMI stood at 50.6. ING held its Q2 GDP growth estimate at 4.6% year-on-year, while the ex-factory price index fell to 48.2.
Record June heatwave hits France, UK, Switzerland; agriculture and energy sectors affected
A record-breaking June 2026 heatwave across France, the UK, and Switzerland prompted public health warnings and school closures; agriculture, energy and utilities, and insurance sectors were reported as directly affected.
US PCE inflation rose 4.1% year-on-year in May 2026, largest since April 2023
The PCE price index rose 4.1% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month in May 2026, with the Dallas Fed trimmed mean PCE rising to 2.8% from 2.4%. Energy costs including gas prices were identified as key drivers.
Australia May 2026 unemployment fell to 4.4%; part-time jobs led gains
Australia's unemployment rate fell to 4.4% from 4.5% in May 2026, matching consensus, as employment rebounded from April declines; job gains were concentrated in part-time positions and the participation rate was unchanged.
Bessent reaffirms 3% GDP growth target; Kalshi traders price lower
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated on 24 June 2026 that GDP could reach 3% growth before year-end, reaffirming the '3-3-3' plan; Kalshi prediction market traders were reported pricing materially below that target.
Kospi rebounds after 10% rout; UK PM Starmer resigns, Burnham tipped as successor
A busy overnight session dominated by tech selloff aftershocks, a dramatic UK political development, and acute oil freight disruption in the Persian Gulf.
Kospi falls 10%; Nasdaq 100 loses $1.3 trillion over two days
South Korea's Kospi fell 10% on 23 June 2026 in its worst single session since March 2020, with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix leading losses; Nasdaq 100 constituents lost approximately $1.3 trillion in combined market capitalisation over the two-day period ending 24 June 2026.
Japan June PMI composite hits three-month high; input costs surge
Japan's flash June 2026 composite PMI rose to 52.5, a three-month high, as manufacturing reached 54.9 and services improved to 51.8; input costs rose to their strongest level since July 2022, and manufacturing payrolls expanded at their fastest pace in over eight years.
US futures fell and 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.483%
US stock index futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declined during Sunday trading on 21 June 2026, while the 10-year US Treasury yield rose more than 3 basis points to 4.483% as markets reopened on 22 June 2026, ahead of a scheduled inflation data release.
King Charles III to publish personal tax details in UK first
King Charles III will become the first British monarch to publicly disclose his personal tax information, with figures for 2024-25 due later this week.
Japan May CPI hits 1.5%; core-core inflation slows to 1.8%
Japan's May 2026 CPI printed at 1.5% year-on-year, with core-core inflation at 1.8% y/y — below the 1.9% consensus — following a Bank of Japan rate hike in the same week. USDJPY and JGB futures were named in coverage of the release.